Can the Vikings Improve in the NFC North?


Christian PonderThe Minnesota Vikings enter the 2012 season coming off of their worst campaign in the teams 51-year history.  Led by head coach Lesley Frazier, this is a team that has something to prove.  How they will do it though remains to be seen.  Their star running back, Adrian Peterson, tore his ACL and MCL in his left knee, when he finally does return will he even be the same person?  He plays the game with a violent, intense streak that was really something to watch, on a personal level I hope he makes a full recovery, but we all know that’s unlikely.  The quarterback position is a big question mark as well, second year man Christian Ponder has the physical talent to make it work, but he didn’t instill much confidence in those who saw him play last year.  The Vikings have a tough road ahead of them.

When we look at the situation objectively, it’s hard not to give Ponder a pass; rookie quarterback coming in to the league during the lockout-shortened offseason for a bad team.  Doesn’t exactly sound like the ideal place to let your talent shine.  Then midway through the season, your star running back, arguably the best in the league, goes down with a bad injury.  Out of the frying pan and into the fire.  However, the team has attempted to try and put some pieces around him in the offseason.  They solidified the left tackle position with Matt Kalil and brought in WR Jerome Simpson and TE John Carlson.  Although those players aren’t considered household names, they are underrated veterans who will make a contribution.  In the absence of Adrian Peterson the running backs are nothing special.  Toby Gerhart, the man who is likely to receive the majority of carries in Peterson’s absence, will do alright.  He’s a solid player who can produce, but is not special in any one area.  The wideouts on the team could also use a little bit of work.  They brought in Jerome Simpson from the Bengals to add a vertical threat to the unit.  He’s acrobatic and fast and, after he serves his three game suspension, should be able to help the team stretch the field.  Percy Harvin hopes to benefit from the addition of Simpson.  He will look to line up and stop drawing so much attention from opposing defenses.  He’s not a number 1 receiver but can produce in the right circumstances.  He is strong and knows how to move in space and can build on his performance from prior seasons.

On the defensive side of the ball new coordinator Alan Williams is more philosophically in tune with Frazier than his predecessor was.  They both believe in a zone-heavy scheme that relies on pressure from the front four with only occasional blitzing.  The defensive success of the Vikings starts up front with their defensive line.  Jared Allen is the star of this unit and is coming off of a tremendous season.  He constantly plays hard with a non-stop motor and inspires others to do the same.  DT Kevin Williams is not quite as dominant as he once was, but he still plays the game at a high level.  He can still get into the backfield by collapsing the middle of the pocket.  He’ll continue to break up blocking schemes and disrupt plays.  The line backers need to show improvement in the new system or there will be some changes in Minnesota.  The most productive player on the unit is Erin Henderson.  He lines up on the weak side and although he has good instincts, he gets out of position too often.  SLB Chad Greenway was expected to be a stud coming out of Iowa, but has never quite lived up to the hype.  He is not very strong at the point of attack and instead prefers to flow with the play and then attack.  The change of defensive schemes will hopefully benefit him.  The defensive backfield doesn’t fare much better than the linebackers and is just another example of changes that may be destined for the offseason.  One bright spot is CB Chris Cook.  He has a long frame and fluid hips which allow him good change of direction ability.  He will likely be defending the elite receivers in the division in Calvin Johnson and Brandon Marshall.

In all likelihood, this won’t be a good season for the Vikings.  Every other team in the competitive NFC North has improved and last years division winner, Green Bay, looms large at 15-1.  Personnel changes may be in the offseason plans for the Vikings if things don’t get better this season.  Last years record of 3-13 will not be tolerated again.  The good news is the offense is going to be better as Ponder and his teammates have had more time to grow together.  This season may prove to be a great test to see who can be a part of a foundation to build upon.

 

 

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Houston Texans


Matt SchaubHouston Texan fans have reason to be optimistic about the upcoming season.  The Texans finished 10-6 and won the AFC South, despite ending the season on a 3 game losing streak.  Not to mention the rash of injuries that plagued the team.  Linebacker Mario Williams, WR Andre Johnson, RB Arian Foster and QB Matt Schuab all missed significant time due to injuries last season.

When the Texans are healthy, they are an elite team in the NFL.  Watching film we see a very effective and consistent run game powered by a zone-blocking scheme.  The QB-WR combination, in Schaub and Johnson, has each player, and the team, producing impressive numbers.  They also possess a strong, fast 3-4 defense that likes to attack and create turnovers.  It appears as if the Texans are on the brink of making a run for the big time.

The NFL is moving more and more every year to an offensive league.  The teams that are consistently dominant from year to year are offensive machines.  The Green Bay Packers, New Orleans Saints, New England Patriots are examples of where the league is heading.  Is Matt Schaub the type of quarterback that can lead a team to the Superbowl?  Absolutely.  Last season he ranked 3rd in YPA at 8.49, with a 61% completion rate and an Overall QB rating of 96.8.  Keep in mind, he went down in week 10 and while he was there he was dealing with backups at skill positions at times, all of which affected his individual numbers.  A quarterback can’t do it alone, and that is where Andre Johnson steps in.  He’s dealt with injuries the last two seasons, but in the 2 years prior to that he caught 216 passes for over 3100 yards and 17 touchdowns.   He is a top 5 WR in the league.  If he can stay healthy, he could contribute at numbers that would rival the best of his career.

Arian Foster enters the year ready to build on the success he had after missing the beginning of last season with an injury.  Foster played in only 13 games last season and still managed to gain 1,224 yards earning him 5th overall in the NFL.  He also averaged 4.4 YPC, 10th in the league among players with at least 200 carries.  He can also make the big plays, he ranked 9th in 20+ yard runs.  He is still a young player and he hasn’t shown any signs of being injury prone.  The team and the fans should feel confident in the Texans ability to run the ball.

Even though things look very promising for the Texans, that doesn’t mean we should all be without any concerns.  For starters, the players already mentioned need to actually be on the field to help the team win.  Injuries have really slowed the progress of the Texans and they are conscious of it.  The players are being handled carefully during the preseason and will continue to be during the regular season.  Only Johnson has an injury that causes concern though.  As a WR in his 10th year, some are beginning to think he won’t be able to fully bounce back from his hamstring injury.  It’s beginning to be a trend and each time the recovery is a little slower.  Staff will be keeping a close eye on his performance.

The team also could have issues with the offensive line.  The right side of the line is where the team has leaned towards when it comes to running the ball.  Losing RG Mike Brisiel and RT Eric Winston could put a dent in the production level of the run unit.  They both understood the run game exceptionally well and were underrated.  However, the team believes it has more than capable backups in Antoine Caldwell and Rashad Butler, which is why they allowed the veterans to leave in the first place.  A power run game, which not only effective in itself, is necessary for this team to be able to set up the bootleg and play action for their passing game.

The Texans were hit by injuries at key positions yet still finished 10-6 and won a playoff game, how did they do it?  Well, there is a lot of reasons but one of the most important is depth on the roster.  The players on the bench can keep the Texans competitive, but one area they lack depth is at CB.  The have an elite, shut-down corner in Johnathan Joseph, but lack another playmaker.  Starting opposite him will be Kareem Jackson, and he isn’t ideal.  He has shown improvement, but the corners in this scheme are expected to play man coverage so pressure can be applied through blitz packages.  He may give up some big plays in those situations and hurt the team.

No team is without its questions marks coming into the season.  The Texans look primed for a big run this season and unless anything happens, it should go that way.  The AFC South is there for the taking, and the Texans are ready to assume the title of division winner for the foreseeable future.  The Titans, Jaguars and Colts shouldn’t present much of a threat to Houston.  Now is the time for them to start delivering on all the promise they have shown us.

 

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Could the Cowboys Finally Deliver?


The Cowboys enter the season looking to erase the bad taste from last year.  Even though few things went as planned, they were in the playoff race right until the end.  However they finished 8-8 and went home early.  Head coach Jason Garrett leads the charge into New York tonight hoping things will be different.

Despite the constant criticism, Tony Romo actually turned in what could be considered his finest season in some aspects.  He hit a rough patch early, but over the course of the final 12 games of the season he threw 24 TD’s to only seven turnovers.  He finished the season with over 8.0 YPA and a quarterback rating of 102.5, Tony Romo wasn’t the reason for the Cowboys not living up to the expectations.  In fact, it wasn’t the offenses fault at all.  The running back position hopes to grow from last season, and it all depends on DeMarco Murray.  When he’s healthy he runs with purpose and still has potential to grow. The receiver position sits in a better spot than the running backs.  Romo has three talented guys to throw to in Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and TE Jason Witten.  Bryant has a tremendous amount of talent, but doesn’t always show up.  He set career bests last year in catches, yards and touchdowns. But only had a single 100 yard game.  Recent reports on ESPN say the team has placed very strict rules on Bryant in an attempt to keep him out of trouble.  Let’s hope it works because the Cowboys need him on the field as their number one.  Austin is a solid receiver who Romo knows will deliver.  He had what will probably be his best year in 2009, but he still finds ways to produce.  The one potential trouble spot for this unit is the offensive line.  They were young going into last season and it showed at times.  Under new offensive coordinator Bill Callahan the unit hopes to improve enough to all the skill positions to shine.

The defense ranked 17th in the NFL for points allowed at 21.7 per game.  Rob Ryan was a first year coordinator and never expected to be able to fully install his defensive scheme in the lockout shortened season.  He runs a complex scheme and miscommunication and lack of understanding led to missed assignments and breakdowns in coverage.  Another offseason spent learning the system should show tremendous growth for this unit.  The linebackers are the strength of this unit led by DeMarcus Ware.  He racked up a career high 19.5 sacks last season, and that was while fighting through injury for the final 4 games.  Ware is an elite player who has the ability to do it all.  He possesses the ability to rush the passer with a variety of moves that wear down offensive lineman over the course of a game.  While the other linebackers in this group are solid players, none have the ability to complement Ware in his pass rushing.  Another player to pair opposite Ware who could rush the passer effectively would create matchup nightmares for opposing offenses.  The good news is the secondary has improved in the offseason.  CB’s Brandon Carr and Morris Claiborne, along with SS Brodney Pool, were brought in to help shore up this ailing unit.  Carr looks to start at SB immediately and could be exactly what Ryan is looking for.  He’s a solid veteran who came over from the Chiefs with a lot of playing experience.  Claiborne, the 6th pick in the draft, comes from LSU with very high expectations.  He has excellent cover skills and could prove to be the best corner the team has had in a long time.  They are obviously sold on his upside since they took him so high in the draft.  It’s not only his upside the team is sold on though he also has the ability to contribute right away.  However, he will need to get better in press-man coverage for Ryan to be able to use him fully.

By the end of last season many of the fans were highly critical of Jason Garrett.  It has to be hard to come into a position with not only so much spotlight on it, but after already doing so well in his prior coaching position.  History says the talent level on the roster was slightly overrated and Garrett can’t be given too much blame, even if they did take a slight step back.  They went out of their way to give him more talent to work with by addressing needs in the offseason.  With Romo and Ware alone the Cowboys are a threat to make the playoffs; with the extra personnel they are looking to make it a sure thing.  The problem is everyone else in the division feels the same way.  The NFC East is always tough and every other team looks like they also improved since last year.  It also doesn’t help that they have seven games this season against teams that were in the playoffs this year.  One thing is for sure, Jerry Jones likes to win.  He built this to team to win now, and win big.  The question is will they be able to deliver.

 

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Amir khan vs Danny Garcia

Amir Khan BoxerSaturday July 14, 2012 we have the opportunity to make some money on the Khan vs Garcia fight.  This is Khan’s first fight coming off his loss to Lamont Peterson.  Personally I thought he won the fight outright, but it didn’t make that much of a difference as Peterson was tested and found positive of using steroids leading up to their rematch,  in steps Danny Garcia.  Garcia recently won the belt after defeating Erick Morales via 12-round decision.  While his fans like to claim he has beaten 3 former titleholders in a row, (Nate Campbell, Kendall Holt an Erik Morales) all of them were way past their prime and Morales gave him a real fight.  Look for Khan to win this one easy, our money is on a stoppage.

 

We enter tonights fight with a bankroll of $1648.35.

Amir Khan by stoppage -110  Risking $66.79 to win $60.72

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How Much Success Will the Colts See With a 3-4 Defense?

Indianapolis Colts Switch to 3-4When the Indianapolis Colts brought in new head coach Chuck Pagano everyone knew there were going to be some changes.  As a former defensive coordinator in Baltimore one of those changes is installing a 3-4 defense.  The Colts have been running the more traditional 4-3 and their personnel is built around that scheme.  How effective they are, and how quickly, will be important for protecting a young quaterback in Andrew Luck.

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